GDP growth forecast for the current year in the United States
In 2026, projected full-year GDP growth in the United States is 2.0 %. This gives the United States the 8th-highest among G20 countries, and the 135th-highest globally (out of 190 economies with available data).
How United States compares
GDP growth forecast for the current year
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About this indicator
Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the total value of all final goods and services produced within a country in a given year. It is a broad indicator of the size of an economy and its overall level of economic activity. It captures the outcome of economic activity by households, businesses and the government.
GDP growth forecast for 2026 shows the projected annual percentage change in real GDP over the current year. Unlike historical GDP growth figures, which report realized outcomes once data are available, this indicator reflects expectations published in international macroeconomic outlooks. Forecasts are revised periodically as new data arrive and as outlook editions are updated.
The projected growth rates are expressed in real terms (constant prices), meaning they are adjusted for inflation. They therefore represent expected changes in the volume of economic output, not movements driven by price changes alone.
GDP growth forecast for 2026 shows the projected annual percentage change in real GDP over the current year. Unlike historical GDP growth figures, which report realized outcomes once data are available, this indicator reflects expectations published in international macroeconomic outlooks. Forecasts are revised periodically as new data arrive and as outlook editions are updated.
The projected growth rates are expressed in real terms (constant prices), meaning they are adjusted for inflation. They therefore represent expected changes in the volume of economic output, not movements driven by price changes alone.
Sources and updates
Data sources
The data for this indicator are drawn from:
1. The OECD Economic Outlook.
2. The IMF World Economic Outlook.
OECD data take precedence over IMF data when both are available for a given country.
1. The OECD Economic Outlook.
2. The IMF World Economic Outlook.
OECD data take precedence over IMF data when both are available for a given country.
Last update
This indicator was last updated on Econorama on 15 July 2026 and reflects the latest data available from the underlying sources at that time.
More on the United States
Economic activity
Gross Domestic Product (GDP)
Millions, constant international dollars
Rank2nd of 194
GDP growth
Annual growth (%), adjusted for inflation
Rank136th of 194
GDP growth forecast for next year
Full-year forecast for 2027, adjusted for inflation
Rank157th of 189
Cumulative growth of GDP
Total growth (%) since 2010, adjusted for inflation
Rank111th of 190
Labor productivity
GDP per hour worked (constant international dollars)
Rank7th of 40
Investment (% of GDP)
Gross fixed capital formation as a percentage of GDP
Rank101st of 170
Investment growth
Gross fixed capital formation, annual growth (%), adjusted for inflation
Rank99th of 159
Population & Demographics
Health
Public Finance
Government debt (% of GDP)
Gross debt of the general government
Rank11th of 190
Public debt per capita
Gross debt of the general government, in current international dollars
Rank3rd of 191
Government budget balance (% of GDP)
Positive values indicate a surplus; negative values indicate a deficit
Rank172nd of 194